Friday, September 24, 2010

Week 3: Fantasy Football Rankings -- QB, RB, WR/TE

With injuries starting to mount, there are some new names on the ranking's list this week. Meanwhile, Michael Vick is back in the top 10 this week, a pair of Denver Broncos make the list for the first time and find out which Oakland Raider is worthy of a top 10 ranking. Here are the week 3 rankings.

Quarterbacks
1. Tom Brady vs. Buffalo
2. Peyton Manning at Denver
3. Aaron Rodgers at Chicago
4. Drew Brees vs. Atlanta
5. Matt Schaub vs. Dallas
6. Tony Romo at Houston
7. Philip Rivers at Seattle
8. Michael Vick at Jacksonville
9. Donovan McNabb at St. Louis
10. Joe Flacco vs. Cleveland
11. Kyle Orton vs. Indianapolis
12. Jay Cutler vs. Green Bay
13. Brett Favre vs. Detroit
14. Eli Manning vs. Tennessee
15. Matt Ryan at New Orleans
16. Matt Hasselbeck vs. San Diego
17. Derek Anderson vs. Oakland
18. Bruce Gradkowski at Arizona
19. Sam Bradford vs. Washington
20. Matt Cassel vs. San Francisco

Running Backs
1. Adrian Peterson vs. Detroit
2. Chris Johnson at New York Giants
3. Ray Rice vs. Cleveland
4. Cedric Benson at Carolina
5. Rashard Mendenhall at Tampa Bay
6. Frank Gore at Kansas City
7. Arian Foster vs. Dallas
8. Darren McFadden at Arizona
9. Pierre Thomas vs. Atlanta
10. LeSean McCoy at Jacksonville
11. Steven Jackson vs. Washington
12. Maurice Jones-Drew vs. Philadelphia
13. Correll Buckhalter vs. Indianapolis
14. Michael Turner at New Orleans
15. Clinton Portis at St. Louis
16. Tim Hightower vs. Oakland
17. DeAngelo Williams vs. Carolina
18. Mike Tolbert at Seattle
19. LaDainian Tomlinson at Miami
20. Joseph Addai at Denver
21. Jahvid Best at Minnesota
22. Matt Forte vs. Green Bay
23. Ahmad Bradshaw vs. Tennessee
24. Justin Forsett vs. San Diego
25. Fred Taylor vs. Buffalo
26. Shonn Greene at Miami
27. Jamaal Charles vs. San Francisco
28. Darren Sproles at Seattle
29. Ronnie Brown vs. New York Jets
30. Brandon Jackson at Chicago
31. Willis McGahee vs. Cleveland
32. Thomas Jones vs. San Francisco
33. Marion Barber at Houston
34. Peyton Hillis at Baltimore
35. Marshawn Lynch at New England
36. Donald Brown at Denver
37. Ricky Williams vs. New York Jets
38. Jason Snelling at New Orleans
39. Jonathan Stewart vs. Cincinnati
40. Laurence Maroney vs. Indianapolis

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
1. Miles Austin at Houston
2. Andre Johnson vs. Dallas
3. Roddy White at New Orleans
4. DeSean Jackson at Jacksonville
5. Reggie Wayne at Denver
6. Wes Welker vs. Buffalo
7. Randy Moss vs. Buffalo
8. Anquan Boldin vs. Cleveland
9. Larry Fitzgerald vs. Oakland
10. Greg Jennings at Chicago
11. Calvin Johnson vs. Minnesota
12. Marques Colston vs. Atlanta
13. Santana Moss at St. Louis
14. Brandon Marshall vs. New York Jets
15. Jeremy Maclin at Jacksonville
16. Antonio Gates at Seattle
17. Dallas Clark at Denver
18. Austin Collie at Denver
19. Malcom Floyd at Seattle
20. Chad Ochocinco at Carolina
21. Demaryius Thomas vs. Indianapolis
22. Mark Clayton vs. Washington
23. Hakeem Nicks vs. Tennessee
24. Eddie Royal vs. Indianapolis
25. Donald Driver at Chicago
26. Louis Murphy at Arizona
27. Terrell Owens at Carolina
28. Johnny Knox vs. Green Bay
29. Dez Bryant at Houston
30. Jermichael Finley at Chicago
31. Nate Washington at New York Giants
32. Percy Harvin vs. Detroit
33. Kevin Walter vs. Dallas
34. Mike Sims-Walker vs. Philadelphia
35. Jacoby Jones vs. Dallas
36. Steve Smith (NY) vs. Tennessee
37. Steve Smith (Carolina) vs. Cincinnati
38. Visanthe Shiancoe vs. Detroit
39. Chris Cooley at St. Louis
40. Derrick Mason vs. Cleveland
41. Vernon Davis at Kansas City
42. Devin Hester vs. Green Bay
43. Braylon Edwards at Miami
44. Dwayne Bowe vs. San Francisco
45. Steve Breaston vs. Oakland
46. Aaron Hernandez vs. Buffalo
47. Mike Williams (TB) vs. Pittsburgh
48. Tony Gonzalez at New Orleans
49. Dustin Keller at Miami
50. Jason Whitten at Houston

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Week 3: Working the Waiver Wire

Injuries are starting to effect fantasy football rosters and then there are the players who just aren't living up to their preseason potential. If you have a player that fits in one of these two categories, take a look at some of the free agents that may be worth a roster spot in week three.

Demaryius Thomas – WR Denver
In his rookie debut, Thomas caught eight balls for 97 yards and a TD. It’s hard to call him a sleeper anymore and he is definitely worth a roster spot. Denver is a passing team this year and Thomas is their best red zone option.

Kevin Walter – WR Houston
Before the season, many people thought WR Jacoby Jones was the man to grab in Houston, after Andre Johnson of course. While Jones has been a good fantasy football WR, Walter has been better. Two TDs in two weeks should be enticing enough for owners to grab Walter.

Mike Tolbert – RB San Diego
With Ryan Mathews nursing a high ankle sprain, Tolbert is this week’s hot free agent pick-up. Tolbert is coming off a two TD game and looked solid in gaining 95 total yards. Given Tolbert’s success around the goal line, he will be a good fantasy football option even when Mathews is healthy.

Louis Murphy – WR Oakland
What intrigues me about Murphy is the change at QB for the Raiders. Bruce Gradkowski is now at the helm for Oakland and that change could be the spark the Raiders offense needs. Gradkowski and Murphy connected on a TD last week and really seemed to click. Gradkowski isn’t going to turn the Raiders into an offensive juggernaut, but he might just improve the value of Murphy.

John Kuhn – RB Green Bay
The Packers came out this week and said Brandon Jackson is not a “Carry the load” type of back. That is bad news for fantasy football owners who over bid for Jackson, but good news for John Kuhn owners. Some owners did target Kuhn last week after Grant went down for the year. If you’re desperate for a RB and Kuhn is available, take a chance on the big RB.

Aaron Hernandez – TE New England
If you’re in a TE mandatory league, Hernandez is an excellent option. Even if you’re not required to carry a TE on your roster, Hernandez is a good option going forward. In his second career game, Hernandez hauled in six balls for 103 yards. The rookie has quickly established chemistry with Tom Brady, which is a very good thing. Look for Hernandez to become even more involved with Kevin Faulk down for the year with a knee injury.

Keiland Williams – RB Washington
The RB who backs up Clinton Portis is always in demand. This week the Redskins cut ties with Larry Johnson meaning Williams is Portis’ primary back-up. Williams looked very good in the preseason, often times working with the first team offense. Feel good about grabbing Williams, especially if you have Portis.

Jason Snelling – RB Atlanta
After a strong finish to the 2009 season, I had a feeling Snelling would eventually have value. I had no idea he would score three TDs with a gimpy Michael Turner (groin injury) on the sidelines. Snelling will return to his role as a back-up this week, with Turner healthy enough to play. Snelling has proven his worth in Atlanta, and with Turner’s injury history Snelling is worth a roster spot. Grab him if you have Turner, or if you need a RB in a deeper league.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Week 2: Good calls, bad calls

If you checked out this blog last week, then you probably did okay this week in your fantasy football league. It was one of those good weeks where many of the predictions came true. It won’t happen every week, so help me celebrate a successful week two.

Bad Calls:
Jahvid Best – RB Detroit
I was very high on Best entering the season. I had no idea that he would have the kind of impact he’s had less far. My bad call on Best this week was, I left him off my week top 40 RB rankings. So technically, I had 40 other RBs ahead of Best this week. I missed him completely and he had a huge week. You can bet I won’t miss Best again.

Randy Moss – WR New England
I thought Darrelle Revis’ hamstring injury was a ploy and he would shut Moss down. It turns out Revis was gimpy and unable to completely shut down Moss. Moss made a terrific one-handed catch for a long TD. I hope you kept Moss in your line-up (my opponent didn’t. Thanks for reading my blog).

Tim Hightower – RB Arizona
You won’t find this one on my blog, but on Twitter I told a fantasy football owner to consider Arian Foster over Hightower (sorry Justintime56). Hightower scored an 80-yard TD against the Atlanta Falcons. I have no read on Hightower. I advise you to never ask me about him again.

Good Calls:
Ahmad Bradshaw – RB New York Giants
I warned Brandon Jacobs’ owners his days may be numbered in New York, but man, I didn’t see this coming. The big RB went off Sunday night, accidently tossing his helmet into the stands in disgust. Bradshaw is the Giants best option going forward, look for him to continue to carry the load.

Kansas City Defense
I proclaimed the KC defense back, and in week two they held up their end of the bargain. I said the new Chiefs defense had “an active secondary that could make plays.” Wouldn’t you know it, Brandon Flowers intercepted a pass and returned it for a TD. Add Dexter McCulster, Javier Arenas and Eric Berry to the mix and KC is a pretty good defensive option in your starting line-up.

Mark Clayton – WR St. Louis
After a solid week one performance, I targeted free agent Clayton in my league. I hope you did too. Clayton finished week two with two TDs. As I predicted, Clayton is on pace to score more fantasy football points than TJ Houshmanzadeh, who replaced him in Baltimore. If Clayton’s still available in your league, stop wasting time and go get him.

Shonn Greene – RB NY Jets
I made the statement that Greene may have peaked as a RB. While I'm not ready to write his professional football obituary, I am looking pretty good on that call. Greene's running mate, LaDainian Tomlinson, is looking more like the Jets go-to RB. Tomlinson is averaging more than six yards per carry in the first two games and has outrushed Greene 138 yards to 70 yards (virtually same amount of carries: LT: 22, Greene: 20). Look to dump Greene to someone who doesn't know any better.

Percy Harvin - WR Minnesota
I have warned you about Harvin and his injury risk. If it's not his migraines (he missed another practice Wednesday because of a migraine), it's his hip; if it's not his hip, it's something else. This guy will keep frustrating you all season long. He's a long way from being a weekly fantasy football contributor and it might be time to cut ties, at least sit him on your bench. As for my other prediction about the Vikings receiving corps, Visanthe Shiancoe led the team in receiving for a second straight week. The big TE is the only Vikings receiver worth a look at this point. Bench Brett Favre too, if you haven't already.

Adrian Peterson vs. Chris Johnson
You had the feeling Peterson was due for a big game, and he certainly didn't disappoint. He out rushed Johnson (AP: 145 yards, 1 TD; CJ: 34 yards) and added five catches for 51 yards. Look for Peterson to have another big game this week against the Detroit Lions. And we should cut Johnson some slack, he did face a stout Pittsburgh defense. He should bounce back nicely with a game against the New York Giants. I give the week three (slight) advantage to Peterson again.

Michael Vick – QB Philadelphia
Most people picked Vick to have a solid game against the Detroit Lions, but few expected him to be named starter in week three. I'm not ready to call him an every week starter yet, but he's looking a lot like the Vick of old, and that's a good thing.

Jerome Harrison – RB Cleveland
After just nine carries for 52 yards in the first game, the Browns vowed to get Harrison the ball more. In week two Cleveland did just that, handing the ball to Harrison 16 times. Harrison responded by rushing for a dismal 33 yards. Now he's battling a thigh injury, expect less from Harrsion and more from Peyton Hillis.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Put It In Print: Week 2 Predictions

If you're going to say it, why not put it in print. Throughout the week I have a tendency to throw out random NFL predictions to anyone who will listen. Fortunately, most of my friends are fantasy football owners. This post is a snapshot of what's going on in my head.

•The Jets are losing faith in Shonn Greene and now it’s in the young RBs head. Greene fumbled twice against Baltimore and was quickly replaced by LaDainian Tomlinson, who led the Jets with 62 yards rushing. It’s clear now that Greene should get used to splitting carries with LT for the entire season. Greene should no longer be considered a number one fantasy football RB.

•Percy Harvin was a wasted pick this year. He has missed more practices this season than he’s attended. Harvin is plagued by another injury, this time it's his hip. Harvin should get comfortable on your fantasy football bench, because he's not worth a spot in your starting line-up. There are other WRs out there who are better, and don’t require your attention every day of the week. Let Harvin find a new home. Visanthe Shiancoe is the only Vikings receiver I’d want on my team.

•The battle over who’s the best RB went to Chris Johnson in week one, but that will change in week two. Look for Adrian Peterson to get the ball a lot in the Vikings home opener against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Peterson said he wants the ball 40 to 50 times a game. He’ll take 20+ carries this week on his way to a monster week 2.

•Michael Vick is back in the starting QB role and the situation couldn’t be better. Vick, who looked sharp in relief of concussed Kevin Kolb last week against Green Bay, faces a Detroit defense that gave up 372 passing yards to Chicago’s Jay Cutler last week. Vick’s in line for a big game, feel good about starting him over more established QBs.

•Jerome Harrison is going to aggravate fantasy football owners all season. He looked like a great match-up in week one against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, only to get 9 carries for 52 yards. Sell this guy to an owner that doesn’t know any better.

•Mark Clayton impressed me during the preseason with the Baltimore Ravens. He was a good compliment to Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason. The TJ Houshmanzadeh deal makes no sense to me. I expect Clayton, who’s now catching passes from St. Louis Rams’ rookie Sam Bradford, to have a better year than Houshmanzadeh.

•If you think Darrelle Revis’ hamstring is bothering him, don’t buy it. My guess is it’s a ploy to get Tom Brady to throw his way on Sunday. Expect Revis to be locked on Randy Moss the entire game and shut him down. Unlike Joe Flacco in week one, Brady will take his shots against Revis, but that won’t last long. On the other side, Wes Welker will have a field day with Antonio Cromartie and Kyle Wilson covering him. Welker is the Pats number one WR this year.

•If you think Arian Foster’s 231 yards week one performance was a fluke, think again. This guy is very capable of grabbing the rushing title this season. He plays in a great offensive system that mixes run and pass extremely well. If someone in your league is looking to sell Foster at his peak, make an offer because Foster will be a solid #1 RB all season long.

•When you drafted Malcom Floyd this season, you probably envisioned Vincent Jackson type numbers from him. I hate to tell you this, but Floyd is the number three receiving option in San Diego behind Antonio Gates and Legedu Naanee. Yes, Naanee will have a better fantasy football year than Floyd. Get Naanee if you still can.

•The ‘D’ is back in Kansas City. It wasn’t long ago that the Kansas City Chiefs were a highly sought after fantasy football defensive squad. They had Dante Hall returning kicks and an active secondary that could make plays. With the arrival of rookies Dexter McCulster, Javier Arenas and Eric Berry, it appears those days are back in KC. Feel good about having KC as a defensive option in your starting line-up.

•This is not breaking news, but Peyton Manning is in for a monster season. The Colts have issues on defense and running the ball, and that will lead to more Manning. What you expected from Manning, stats wise this season, you can up that by about 500-600 yards and 5-8 TDs. If the Colts make the playoffs, he’s MVP again because his numbers are going to be ridiculous.

•There is one RB that is running away from the dreaded ‘running back by committee’ tag and he plays in a great offensive system. Ahmad Bradshaw has emerged as the go-to guy for the New York Giants. Look for his role to grow starting Sunday night against the Indianapolis Colts. Brandon Jacobs’ owners don’t say I didn’t warn you.