Showing posts with label Week 3. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 3. Show all posts

Monday, September 26, 2011

2011 Fantasy Football: Tuesday Takeaways

Every Tuesday The Source takes a look back at the weekend (and Monday night) that was in the NFL. Here are The Source's ten takeaways from week three.

1) The Minnesota Vikings ARE NOT yet in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. However, a couple more second half collapses and we'll revisit the matter. From a fantasy football standpoint, RB Adrian Peterson is the only player on the Vikings who is worth starting each week (no, I did not forget about Percy Harvin).

2) The Buffalo Bills are one of three unbeaten teams left in the NFL (Packers and Lions other two) and they're for real - at least their offense is. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has emerged as an every week fantasy starter and RB Fred Jackson has turned out to be a viable RB1 option. Also, WR Steve Johnson is proving last year wasn't a fluke and WRs David Nelson and Donald Jones are worth a roster spot in deeper leagues, PPR leagues for sure. After beating New England 34-31 on Sunday, the Bills won't sneak up on anyone anymore. Still, their offense is good enough that you count on their players for fantasy points each week.

3) There's a new top target in Cincinnati and his name is Andre Caldwell (pictured). With Jerome Simpson in legal limbo, Caldwell started at WR for the Bengals against San Francisco on Sunday and led the team in targets (12), catches (6) and yards (53). I fully expect those numbers to continue for Caldwell and if I were a betting man, I'd say Simpson's season (and football career) is over. If you need a WR, Caldwell is a solid option in PPR and deeper standard leagues.

4) We learned in week three that Carolina Panthers QB Cam Newton can be contained, you just need a lot of rain. After two straight weeks of 400+ yards passing, the rookie managed just 158 yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars. But again, the weather was a major factor in this game and that stalled Carolina's high-powered offense. Don't worry too much about Newton's "down" week, he's still an every week fantasy option if you need him. That goes for WR Steve Smith as well.

5) After WR Kenny Britt got into trouble with the law during the lockout, the Tennessee Titans likely figured they would be without their star WR for at least part of this season. However, before the long-arm of the NFL commissioner's office could slap a suspension on Britt, he was done in by a gimpy leg. Britt's ACL tear in the Titans week three win over the Denver Broncos is devastating, especially to the fantasy owners who took on a chance on him on draft day. Britt's season was off to a tremendous start - 17 catches, 289 yards and 3 TDs - but now it's over. Maybe it's karma calling after an offseason of mischief, regardless, the Titans and Britt fantasy owners are now left with a huge hole in their starting line-up. Look for WR Nate Washington to get more targets, he's a good free agent option in most leagues. Other players who could see more targets include: WRs Lavelle Hawkins and Damian Williams and TE Jared Cook. But I'm not putting much stock in any of those guys just yet.

6) San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh said RB Frank Gore will be 'good to go' when the Niners face the Philadelphia Eagles in week four, but I'm not sure that's such great news. Gore sprained an ankle in the Niners week three win over the Cincinnati Bengals, but even before that injury he's been less than impressive. In the first three weeks, Gore has carried the ball 59 times for 148 yards, an average of 2.5 yards per carry. I'm not ready to say Gore should be benched in favor of rookie RB Kendall Hunter, but maybe Hunter deserves more carries. I realize Hunter averaged 2.9 yards per carry on Sunday (nine carries for 26 yards), but he looks more versatile than Gore and doesn't have the injury history (or the mileage). Consider Hunter a good waiver wire guy this week and a must pick-up player if you own Gore.

7) Speaking of Jim Harbaugh, we're going to need your nickname coach. Tony Romo is the new 'Captain Comeback'. Romo led the (extremely) shorthanded Dallas Cowboys to a second-consecutive fourth quarter comeback over the Washington Redskins on Monday night. Romo, who was playing with broken ribs, had a terrible statistical game (255 yards, 1 INT), but was brilliant down the stretch making plays when he needed to.

8) If the Seattle Seahawks go 8-8 this season, I wouldn't be that surprised. I also wouldn't be shocked if all their wins came in front of the '12th Man'. Seattle is a different team when they play at CenturyLink Field and the stats back it up. Since 2002 (the year the stadium opened), the Seahawks have won 50 regular season homes games (including three 8-0 seasons) and lost just 22. Over that same period, they're 24-48 on the road during the regular season. And the trend is the same in the playoffs. At home, the Seahawks are 7-1 and on the road they're 0-5 (including a loss in Super Bowl XL). What's my point? Regardless of how bad the Seahawks look on paper (and at quarterback), they have a shot at winning some (home) games this year. From a fantasy perspective, if you have RB Marshawn Lynch, WR Sidney Rice or Seattle's DST, play them only when the Seahawks are at home (if you must play them at all).

9) After two weeks of going back-and-fourth, it's clear now that Chargers RB Ryan Mathews is the front-runner in San Diego's backfield (for now). The second-year back from Fresno State took advantage of his full workload on Sunday, rushing for 98 yards on 21 carries and two touchdowns (he also caught 4 passes for 51 yards). While Mathews carried the Chargers to victory over the Kansas City Chiefs, Mike Tolbert (who scored 3 TDs in week one) played a true back-up role. Tolbert finished with four carries for 19 yards and three catches for 24 yards. Mathews looked the part of an every down back, even staying on the field on third down and goalline. This is obviously good news for Mathews' owners and bad news for Tolbert owners. But before you declare this back-and-fourth battle over, remember that Mathews was injured (a lot) last year and Tolbert was nursing a toe injury much of last week. Until we see this type of production out of Mathews over the course of several weeks, keep both players in your line-ups.

10) The St. Louis Rams were supposed to be better than their 0-3 start, but right now they're a mess. Their defense is getting shredded by opposing offenses and their offense looks very much like a work in progress (which was expected with first-year OC Josh McDaniels). But before you write-off the Rams as losers this year, take a look at the second half of their schedule. They have a stretch (week 9-15) where they face: @Arizona, @Cleveland, vs. Seattle, vs. Arizona, @San Francisco, @Seattle, vs. Cincinnati. While the Rams may not be able to dig out from their 0-3 start and make the playoffs, their skill players (QB Sam Bradford and RB Steven Jackson) should be able to help your fantasy team make a late-season run.

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

2011 NFL Schedule: Week 3

SUNDAY, SEPT. 25  (All Times ET) 
New England at Buffalo  1:00 PM
San Francisco at Cincinnati  1:00 PM
Miami at Cleveland  1:00 PM
Denver at Tennessee  1:00 PM
Detroit at Minnesota  1:00 PM
Houston at New Orleans  1:00 PM
NY Giants at Philadelphia  1:00 PM
Jacksonville at Carolina  1:00 PM
Kansas City at San Diego  4:05 PM
NY Jets at Oakland  4:05 PM
Baltimore at St. Louis  4:05 PM
Arizona at Seattle  4:15 PM
Atlanta at Tampa Bay  4:15 PM
Green Bay at Chicago  4:15 PM
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis  8:20 PM

MONDAY, SEPT. 26
Washington at Dallas  8:30 PM

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Week 3: Good calls, bad calls

I went big this week trying hard to set myself apart from the rest of the fantasy football prognosticators. It turns out I’m still a work in progress. I was right on most of the week three predictions, but my boldest prediction fell short (albeit not by much). Here’s a recap.
Bad Calls:
Justin Forsett – RB Seattle
Forsett was my big pick this week, my would-be defining moment. I suggested that Forsett would have a breakout game against a very good San Diego defense. I had a feeling Seattle would win the game and Forsett would be the reason. It turns out his RB mate Leon Washington was the difference with two kick-off returns for TDs. Forsett did get 20 touches (17 carries/3 catches), tallying 94 yards. It was by far the most touches he’s seen this year. I still believe Forsett will be a valuable fantasy football RB over the next several weeks. He has a favorable schedule ahead (@STL, Bye, @Chicago, Arizona, @Oakland, NY Giants,@Arizona) and is clearly the best RB option for the first place Seahawks.
Beanie Wells – RB Arizona
I thought it would take Wells a couple weeks to be a factor in Arizona’s running game. It turned out he was ready to contribute in week 3. It was revealed earlier in the week that Wells underwent knee surgery. I didn’t think he would play much, let alone lead the team with 14 carries. His 75 yards were a surprise and he looked ready to retake the number one RB role. Once again, I cannot figure out the Arizona RB situation, go figure.
Brett Favre – QB Minnesota
I thought this would be the game Brett Favre threw TD #500. It turns out Favre is still one TD short of 500, which means he managed just one TD against Detroit. Favre did connect with Percy Harvin on a nice TD, but that was it. The Vikings enter their bye this week and when they return in two weeks, their schedule is brutal. Games @NY Jets, vs. Dallas, @New England and @Green Bay will put Favre to the test. I would start looking for an alternative starting QB if you have Favre.
Good Calls:

Joe Flacco – QB Baltimore
After two rough games against the NY Jets and Cincinnati Bengals, Flacco had no problem dismantling the Cleveland Browns. Flacco's 262 yards and 3 TDs (all to Anquan Boldin) was his best statistical performance of the year. Feel good about keeping Flacco in your starting line-up (even this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers). 

Cincinnati Bengals defense
They could have been better, but 4 turnovers and a sack is still pretty good. Carolina played it safe most of the game with Jimmy Clausen making his pro debut. The Bengals defense is a good start any week, but the next two should be great. The Bengals face Cleveland this week and Tampa Bay the week after.

Kyle Orton – QB Denver
I have liked Orton from the beginning of the season, but what he did Sunday was unreal. The Broncos QB threw for a mind-boggling 476 yards and a TD against the Indianapolis Colts. Orton is a solid fantasy football starter and looks to be a consistent performer each week.

Ryan Torain - RB Washington
I wanted to get on the record with Torain last week, but I had no idea he would lead the Redskins in rushing. His 7 carries for 46 yards was nothing great, but it could signal a change in Washington's backfield. Owners of Clinton Portis should grab Torain now.

Cedric Benson – RB Cincinnati
I expected 100+ yards rushing out of Benson this week, I missed by 19 yards. However, Benson did reward fantasy football owners with two TDs. Look for Benson to be used more heavily as the Bengals try and figure out its passing game.

Brandon Jackson – RB Green Bay
Green Bay's running game is non-existent without Ryan Grant. Jackson proved on Monday night that he is not an every down RB. If Jackson is one of your starting RBs, start looking for an alternative.

Friday, September 24, 2010

Week 3: Fantasy Football Rankings -- QB, RB, WR/TE

With injuries starting to mount, there are some new names on the ranking's list this week. Meanwhile, Michael Vick is back in the top 10 this week, a pair of Denver Broncos make the list for the first time and find out which Oakland Raider is worthy of a top 10 ranking. Here are the week 3 rankings.

Quarterbacks
1. Tom Brady vs. Buffalo
2. Peyton Manning at Denver
3. Aaron Rodgers at Chicago
4. Drew Brees vs. Atlanta
5. Matt Schaub vs. Dallas
6. Tony Romo at Houston
7. Philip Rivers at Seattle
8. Michael Vick at Jacksonville
9. Donovan McNabb at St. Louis
10. Joe Flacco vs. Cleveland
11. Kyle Orton vs. Indianapolis
12. Jay Cutler vs. Green Bay
13. Brett Favre vs. Detroit
14. Eli Manning vs. Tennessee
15. Matt Ryan at New Orleans
16. Matt Hasselbeck vs. San Diego
17. Derek Anderson vs. Oakland
18. Bruce Gradkowski at Arizona
19. Sam Bradford vs. Washington
20. Matt Cassel vs. San Francisco

Running Backs
1. Adrian Peterson vs. Detroit
2. Chris Johnson at New York Giants
3. Ray Rice vs. Cleveland
4. Cedric Benson at Carolina
5. Rashard Mendenhall at Tampa Bay
6. Frank Gore at Kansas City
7. Arian Foster vs. Dallas
8. Darren McFadden at Arizona
9. Pierre Thomas vs. Atlanta
10. LeSean McCoy at Jacksonville
11. Steven Jackson vs. Washington
12. Maurice Jones-Drew vs. Philadelphia
13. Correll Buckhalter vs. Indianapolis
14. Michael Turner at New Orleans
15. Clinton Portis at St. Louis
16. Tim Hightower vs. Oakland
17. DeAngelo Williams vs. Carolina
18. Mike Tolbert at Seattle
19. LaDainian Tomlinson at Miami
20. Joseph Addai at Denver
21. Jahvid Best at Minnesota
22. Matt Forte vs. Green Bay
23. Ahmad Bradshaw vs. Tennessee
24. Justin Forsett vs. San Diego
25. Fred Taylor vs. Buffalo
26. Shonn Greene at Miami
27. Jamaal Charles vs. San Francisco
28. Darren Sproles at Seattle
29. Ronnie Brown vs. New York Jets
30. Brandon Jackson at Chicago
31. Willis McGahee vs. Cleveland
32. Thomas Jones vs. San Francisco
33. Marion Barber at Houston
34. Peyton Hillis at Baltimore
35. Marshawn Lynch at New England
36. Donald Brown at Denver
37. Ricky Williams vs. New York Jets
38. Jason Snelling at New Orleans
39. Jonathan Stewart vs. Cincinnati
40. Laurence Maroney vs. Indianapolis

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
1. Miles Austin at Houston
2. Andre Johnson vs. Dallas
3. Roddy White at New Orleans
4. DeSean Jackson at Jacksonville
5. Reggie Wayne at Denver
6. Wes Welker vs. Buffalo
7. Randy Moss vs. Buffalo
8. Anquan Boldin vs. Cleveland
9. Larry Fitzgerald vs. Oakland
10. Greg Jennings at Chicago
11. Calvin Johnson vs. Minnesota
12. Marques Colston vs. Atlanta
13. Santana Moss at St. Louis
14. Brandon Marshall vs. New York Jets
15. Jeremy Maclin at Jacksonville
16. Antonio Gates at Seattle
17. Dallas Clark at Denver
18. Austin Collie at Denver
19. Malcom Floyd at Seattle
20. Chad Ochocinco at Carolina
21. Demaryius Thomas vs. Indianapolis
22. Mark Clayton vs. Washington
23. Hakeem Nicks vs. Tennessee
24. Eddie Royal vs. Indianapolis
25. Donald Driver at Chicago
26. Louis Murphy at Arizona
27. Terrell Owens at Carolina
28. Johnny Knox vs. Green Bay
29. Dez Bryant at Houston
30. Jermichael Finley at Chicago
31. Nate Washington at New York Giants
32. Percy Harvin vs. Detroit
33. Kevin Walter vs. Dallas
34. Mike Sims-Walker vs. Philadelphia
35. Jacoby Jones vs. Dallas
36. Steve Smith (NY) vs. Tennessee
37. Steve Smith (Carolina) vs. Cincinnati
38. Visanthe Shiancoe vs. Detroit
39. Chris Cooley at St. Louis
40. Derrick Mason vs. Cleveland
41. Vernon Davis at Kansas City
42. Devin Hester vs. Green Bay
43. Braylon Edwards at Miami
44. Dwayne Bowe vs. San Francisco
45. Steve Breaston vs. Oakland
46. Aaron Hernandez vs. Buffalo
47. Mike Williams (TB) vs. Pittsburgh
48. Tony Gonzalez at New Orleans
49. Dustin Keller at Miami
50. Jason Whitten at Houston