Friday, September 17, 2010

Put It In Print: Week 2 Predictions

If you're going to say it, why not put it in print. Throughout the week I have a tendency to throw out random NFL predictions to anyone who will listen. Fortunately, most of my friends are fantasy football owners. This post is a snapshot of what's going on in my head.

•The Jets are losing faith in Shonn Greene and now it’s in the young RBs head. Greene fumbled twice against Baltimore and was quickly replaced by LaDainian Tomlinson, who led the Jets with 62 yards rushing. It’s clear now that Greene should get used to splitting carries with LT for the entire season. Greene should no longer be considered a number one fantasy football RB.

•Percy Harvin was a wasted pick this year. He has missed more practices this season than he’s attended. Harvin is plagued by another injury, this time it's his hip. Harvin should get comfortable on your fantasy football bench, because he's not worth a spot in your starting line-up. There are other WRs out there who are better, and don’t require your attention every day of the week. Let Harvin find a new home. Visanthe Shiancoe is the only Vikings receiver I’d want on my team.

•The battle over who’s the best RB went to Chris Johnson in week one, but that will change in week two. Look for Adrian Peterson to get the ball a lot in the Vikings home opener against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Peterson said he wants the ball 40 to 50 times a game. He’ll take 20+ carries this week on his way to a monster week 2.

•Michael Vick is back in the starting QB role and the situation couldn’t be better. Vick, who looked sharp in relief of concussed Kevin Kolb last week against Green Bay, faces a Detroit defense that gave up 372 passing yards to Chicago’s Jay Cutler last week. Vick’s in line for a big game, feel good about starting him over more established QBs.

•Jerome Harrison is going to aggravate fantasy football owners all season. He looked like a great match-up in week one against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, only to get 9 carries for 52 yards. Sell this guy to an owner that doesn’t know any better.

•Mark Clayton impressed me during the preseason with the Baltimore Ravens. He was a good compliment to Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason. The TJ Houshmanzadeh deal makes no sense to me. I expect Clayton, who’s now catching passes from St. Louis Rams’ rookie Sam Bradford, to have a better year than Houshmanzadeh.

•If you think Darrelle Revis’ hamstring is bothering him, don’t buy it. My guess is it’s a ploy to get Tom Brady to throw his way on Sunday. Expect Revis to be locked on Randy Moss the entire game and shut him down. Unlike Joe Flacco in week one, Brady will take his shots against Revis, but that won’t last long. On the other side, Wes Welker will have a field day with Antonio Cromartie and Kyle Wilson covering him. Welker is the Pats number one WR this year.

•If you think Arian Foster’s 231 yards week one performance was a fluke, think again. This guy is very capable of grabbing the rushing title this season. He plays in a great offensive system that mixes run and pass extremely well. If someone in your league is looking to sell Foster at his peak, make an offer because Foster will be a solid #1 RB all season long.

•When you drafted Malcom Floyd this season, you probably envisioned Vincent Jackson type numbers from him. I hate to tell you this, but Floyd is the number three receiving option in San Diego behind Antonio Gates and Legedu Naanee. Yes, Naanee will have a better fantasy football year than Floyd. Get Naanee if you still can.

•The ‘D’ is back in Kansas City. It wasn’t long ago that the Kansas City Chiefs were a highly sought after fantasy football defensive squad. They had Dante Hall returning kicks and an active secondary that could make plays. With the arrival of rookies Dexter McCulster, Javier Arenas and Eric Berry, it appears those days are back in KC. Feel good about having KC as a defensive option in your starting line-up.

•This is not breaking news, but Peyton Manning is in for a monster season. The Colts have issues on defense and running the ball, and that will lead to more Manning. What you expected from Manning, stats wise this season, you can up that by about 500-600 yards and 5-8 TDs. If the Colts make the playoffs, he’s MVP again because his numbers are going to be ridiculous.

•There is one RB that is running away from the dreaded ‘running back by committee’ tag and he plays in a great offensive system. Ahmad Bradshaw has emerged as the go-to guy for the New York Giants. Look for his role to grow starting Sunday night against the Indianapolis Colts. Brandon Jacobs’ owners don’t say I didn’t warn you.

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